Trajal Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
15º
13º
59
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trajal Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 2
TKS
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 0
TKS
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
FKD
0 - 4
TKS
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
FKB
0 - 3
TKS
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FKB
0 - 3
TKS
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
4 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
HAP
1 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NPA
0 - 2
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 3
NPA
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MNS
2 - 3
NOV
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |