Trafford vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BAM
1 - 0
TRA
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
OSS
1 - 0
TRA
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 2
WAR
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 2
WIT
39%
24%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
8 - 0
PRE
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
MOS
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
4 - 1
RAD
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 0
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 0
SPE
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 6
SCA
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |