Trafford vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
HAL
2 - 0
TRA
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 1
TRA
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TRA
5 - 1
SAL
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
TRA
4 - 0
CLI
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HAL
2 - 2
TRA
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 1
FYL
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 0
ROU
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CUR
2 - 0
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 3
WAR
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 5
OSS
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |