Q. Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round Final
Global 3-1
Trabzonspor vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
SIV
1 - 1
TRA
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 2
BAL
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESK
2 - 0
TRA
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RIZ
0 - 2
TRA
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
DIF
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
DIF
3 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
DIF
1 - 1
F91
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DIF
3 - 2
JEU
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 4
DIF
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |