TPS vs Ekenäs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
1º
16
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 37 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 34 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 33 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 30 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 28 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 25 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 20 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 18 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 12 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 10 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
56.5% | 19.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 2
TPS
36%
25%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 2
TPS
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
TPS
2 - 2
FCL
50%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GIR
3 - 1
TPS
17%
24%
60%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
TPS
4 - 2
KAP
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ekenäs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
EKE
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
EKE
1 - 1
JIP
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
KER
0 - 1
EKE
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 1
EKE
20%
23%
58%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
EKE
3 - 4
GIR
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |