TPK vs Wilpas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PII
2 - 0
TPK
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
VGN
2 - 1
TPK
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
AIF
1 - 0
TPK
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
TPK
1 - 1
ALA
25%
21%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
MAP
1 - 0
TPK
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wilpas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 2
TVE
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
MAP
3 - 0
WIL
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 2
PII
15%
17%
69%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
VGN
1 - 1
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
3 - 4
INT
14%
18%
69%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |