TPK vs Wilpas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
TPK
2 - 0
VGN
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ILV
3 - 1
TPK
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
TPK
1 - 3
PS4
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
PIF
1 - 3
TPK
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
TPK
0 - 1
AIF
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wilpas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
KAL
5 - 1
WIL
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 2
PS4
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 2
AIF
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 7
PIF
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |