TPK vs Inter Turku II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
84.7%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
4.4%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
13.7%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
8.4%
0-6
3%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.4%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEI
6 - 1
TPK
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
TPK
1 - 1
VGN
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
TPK
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
TPK
2 - 1
WIL
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
TPK
1 - 0
TPS
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Inter Turku II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
INT
5 - 2
TPS
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 9
INT
5%
9%
86%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
INT
6 - 0
KAK
74%
14%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MAP
1 - 5
INT
11%
14%
75%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
INT
6 - 0
ALA
79%
12%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |