TPK vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 7
TPK
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2001 |
PS4
4 - 1
TPK
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
TPK
1 - 0
PIF
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
AIF
1 - 2
TPK
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
TPK
4 - 0
PP7
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
VGN
2 - 1
ILV
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
ILV
1 - 1
AIF
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
PS4
1 - 1
ILV
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2001 |
ILV
0 - 2
RAU
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
PP7
1 - 0
ILV
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |