TPK vs ÅIFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
INT
6 - 2
TPK
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
TPK
1 - 4
PEI
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
VGN
3 - 2
TPK
76%
15%
10%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TPK
1 - 3
MUS
6%
10%
84%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
TPK
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ÅIFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
AIF
1 - 0
TPS
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 4
AIF
26%
20%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
AIF
1 - 0
KAK
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
MAP
2 - 0
AIF
42%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AIF
2 - 2
ALA
37%
22%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |