TP Mazembe vs Smouha SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
13%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 2
TPM
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 0
TPM
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
TPM
0 - 0
ALH
92%
7%
2%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TPM
2 - 1
STA
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
TPM
3 - 0
MOT
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 1
SMO
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 2
TPM
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SMO
4 - 1
NAS
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
SMO
11%
21%
68%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
SMO
3 - 0
ASY
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |