CAF Champions League Last 16
Global 7-1
TP Mazembe vs Power Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POW
1 - 1
TPM
15%
24%
62%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MOL
0 - 2
TPM
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
TPM
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
TPM
5 - 0
TSH
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TPM
2 - 0
MOT
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Power Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
EAG
0 - 1
POW
52%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POW
1 - 1
TPM
15%
24%
62%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -3 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POW
3 - 0
JAP
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JAP
1 - 5
POW
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
POW
5 - 0
NKW
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |