Confederation Cup Quarter-finals
Global 7-1
TP Mazembe vs Hilal Obayed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.8%
2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
OBA
1 - 2
TPM
5%
13%
82%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
TPM
2 - 1
HOR
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
CFM
0 - 1
TPM
13%
21%
66%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
SSU
0 - 0
TPM
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
TPM
2 - 2
SSU
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
OBA
1 - 2
TPM
5%
13%
82%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
OBA
0 - 0
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 2
OBA
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
OBA
2 - 0
HAW
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
OBA
0 - 1
ELA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |