TP Mazembe vs Groupe Bazano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
TPM
0 - 0
SAI
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TPM
4 - 1
MOB
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 1
TPM
37%
31%
32%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MOB
1 - 1
TPM
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
TPM
44%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DBL
2 - 1
GBA
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
GBA
0 - 0
SAI
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
GBA
0 - 0
TPM
51%
27%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
DIB
0 - 2
GBA
39%
29%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GBA
2 - 0
OPA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |