TP Mazembe vs FUS Rabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TPM
5 - 0
OBA
90%
8%
2%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
OBA
1 - 2
TPM
5%
13%
82%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
TPM
2 - 1
HOR
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
CFM
0 - 1
TPM
13%
21%
66%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
SSU
0 - 0
TPM
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FUS Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
RCA
0 - 0
FUR
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
CSS
1 - 0
FUR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FUR
1 - 0
CSS
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
WYD
1 - 3
FUR
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 1
FUR
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |