TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+135%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TPM
0 - 0
SAI
50%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
DBL
0 - 1
TPM
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TPM
4 - 0
LUB
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TSH
0 - 2
TPM
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 3
TPM
47%
29%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tanganyika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FCT
4 - 1
GBA
23%
26%
51%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FCT
3 - 1
USP
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 0
LUB
20%
25%
55%
|
20 | 71 | 51 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
DBL
22%
27%
51%
|
18 | 72 | 54 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 0
SAI
20%
25%
55%
|
16 | 72 | 56 | +2 |