TP Mazembe vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
RAN
0 - 2
TPM
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
AFV
1 - 3
TPM
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
VCL
0 - 0
TPM
44%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TPM
1 - 2
FCT
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
TPM
0 - 1
SAI
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 0
SIM
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
SIM
0 - 0
MAN
43%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
AFV
2 - 2
SIM
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 22 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
VCL
3 - 0
SIM
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
SIM
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |