TP Mazembe vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TPM
4 - 0
ALH
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ALG
1 - 0
TPM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
YOU
3 - 1
TPM
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TPM
1 - 1
YOU
71%
17%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
2 - 1
TPM
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
SIM
5 - 0
ASM
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 16 | 56 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 4
SIM
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 1
LUB
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
DBL
0 - 0
SIM
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 0
SIM
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 13 | 59 | 0 |