TP Mazembe vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
TPM
1 - 0
OPA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
DIB
0 - 4
TPM
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
NSG
0 - 6
TPM
40%
31%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TPM
2 - 0
GBA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
TPM
0 - 0
SAI
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 0
DIB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 0
LUB
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
DBL
1 - 1
SIM
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
3 - 2
OPA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 1
SAI
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |