TP Mazembe vs FC 105 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LES
1 - 2
TPM
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TPM
3 - 1
SUN
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CSS
2 - 0
TPM
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
TPM
2 - 1
CSS
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
TPM
2 - 1
LES
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC 105
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
HEA
3 - 1
105
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
105
3 - 0
HEA
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
105
1 - 0
MAN
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |