CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
TP Mazembe vs FAR Rabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
TPM
4 - 1
ASA
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ASA
2 - 2
TPM
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
POL
2 - 4
TPM
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
TPM
3 - 0
POL
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TPM
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FAR Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
OLY
0 - 1
FAR
47%
30%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 0
ASH
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
MOU
2 - 1
FAR
45%
31%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ASH
2 - 0
FAR
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
RCA
0 - 0
FAR
47%
30%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |