TP Mazembe vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BER
1 - 0
TPM
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SUN
1 - 0
TPM
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
TPM
0 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 1
TPM
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
TPM
1 - 0
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 2
CSH
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
OLY
0 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ESP
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
ESP
3 - 2
BER
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -2 |