TP-47 vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP-47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 5
TP4
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TP4
1 - 4
ACK
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MUS
2 - 0
TP4
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TP4
2 - 0
VIF
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
OPS
3 - 0
TP4
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
HER
4 - 3
FCY
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PPT
2 - 1
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
NAR
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GBK
0 - 0
HER
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
HER
9 - 0
STC
81%
12%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |