Tous A vs San Mauro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
51%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOU
3 - 0
LLA
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JOR
1 - 0
TOU
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 5
MTM
21%
20%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
TOU
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
3 - 1
CDA
55%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Mauro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
SMA
7 - 3
PAZ
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
SMA
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SMA
3 - 1
JOR
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
SMA
3 - 0
VCA
64%
18%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MTM
4 - 1
SMA
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |