Tours U19 vs Stade Brestois U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
13º
12º
34
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TOU
0 - 5
ANG
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SCB
3 - 0
TOU
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 2
AVR
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
TOU
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
GUI
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
STA
2 - 3
ANG
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
AVR
5 - 1
STA
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STA
0 - 1
GUI
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STA
2 - 2
LAV
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |