Tours U19 vs Avranches U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
13º
12º
30
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
TOU
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
GUI
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
TOU
25%
20%
55%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 0
TOU
72%
16%
13%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
LAV
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
AVR
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 3
BER
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 2
AVR
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
REN
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 1
AVR
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |