Tours II vs Avoine OCC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 1
LMU
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
BOU
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 2
LMU
24%
24%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
TOU
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
CHO
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avoine OCC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AVO
0 - 0
ANG
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVO
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
USS
3 - 3
AVO
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AVO
2 - 1
STP
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVO
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |