Tourizense vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 1
ACA
39%
24%
38%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 1
TOU
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 1
TOU
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 2
PAM
24%
27%
49%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ADN
3 - 2
PAM
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
ADN
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
ADN
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
ADN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ADN
4 - 3
SAB
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |