Toulouse U19 vs Bastia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
4º
34
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
TOU
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TOU
4 - 1
BEZ
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
TOU
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
IST
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
MON
25%
20%
55%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
25%
22%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAS
65%
18%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAN
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 3
ETI
14%
19%
68%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |