Toulouse Métropole vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
80%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse Métropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
TOM
0 - 0
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 0
BRI
11%
16%
74%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | +4 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
TRO
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 3
AJA
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
AJA
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
PAU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 0
AJA
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |