Toulouse II vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
COG
3 - 4
TOU
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TOU
0 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CUG
0 - 1
TOU
22%
25%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOU
1 - 1
BEZ
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BER
0 - 3
TOU
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 2
AVI
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AST
2 - 3
TAR
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 1
TRE
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STA
5 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 1
SAG
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |