Toulouse II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
14º
14º
35
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 2
OLY
20%
24%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 2
TOU
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 1
AND
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
THO
4 - 1
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TOU
1 - 1
HYE
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
HYE
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LPV
2 - 2
SPO
64%
23%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPO
47%
27%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAN
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 3
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |