Toulouse II vs Girondins Bordeaux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
7º
3º
22
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 34 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 24 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
4 - 0
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
TOU
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
TOU
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 0
TRE
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
GDB
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 2
BLA
26%
26%
48%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
GDB
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GDB
1 - 2
ONE
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |