Toulouse II vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
TOU
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TOU
3 - 0
ROD
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 1
TOU
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TOU
1 - 1
NIM
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BEA
2 - 0
TOU
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FAB
0 - 2
AGD
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
FAB
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FAB
0 - 4
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OLY
3 - 1
FAB
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FAB
0 - 2
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |