Toulouse II vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
TOU
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
TOU
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TOU
1 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 4
TOU
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TOU
2 - 0
FAB
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 3
AGD
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BLA
2 - 1
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
OLY
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
BAL
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |