Toulouse II vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 0
TOU
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 0
NIO
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
TOU
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 1
TOU
31%
24%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 0
BAL
44%
27%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 5
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LIM
2 - 1
CAS
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 2
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |