Toulouse II vs Brive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
AUR
0 - 0
TOU
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
TOU
1 - 0
LES
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
POI
0 - 3
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
TOU
0 - 0
YZE
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
ALB
0 - 1
TOU
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 1
NAN
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BAY
1 - 0
BRI
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 1
BLO
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
BAL
0 - 3
BRI
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
ORL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |