Toulouse II vs Brive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ROD
2 - 0
TOU
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
TOU
1 - 1
GDB
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
TOU
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
TOU
1 - 0
POI
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 1
LUZ
24%
24%
53%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LEM
2 - 0
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 0
AND
36%
24%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BLO
2 - 2
BRI
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 2
PSG
2%
19%
79%
|
37 | 89 | 52 | +1 |