Toulouse II vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 1
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
SAM
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 3
TOU
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
NAR
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 5
TOU
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
AGD
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
BLA
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 1
BLA
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 3
OLY
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 0
BLA
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |