Toulouse II vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 3
TOU
22%
25%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
TOU
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
TOU
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
LES
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 0
ANG
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
AGD
0 - 1
BLA
37%
27%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 1
BAY
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BLA
3 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |