Toulouse II vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
TOU
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
TOU
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
1 - 0
TOU
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
4 - 0
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
BER
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BER
2 - 0
NIM
54%
24%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 3
BER
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BER
0 - 0
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
1 - 2
BER
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |