Toulouse II vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+157%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
TOU
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LES
2 - 0
TOU
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 0
BAL
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 2
TOU
31%
24%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
ANG
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
BLA
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |