Toulouse II vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+231%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MON
0 - 2
TOU
29%
25%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TOU
1 - 1
AST
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
TOU
23%
24%
52%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TRE
3 - 0
TOU
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOU
1 - 1
STA
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
TRE
6 - 2
BAS
71%
19%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 1
STA
27%
26%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
TAR
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BER
2 - 1
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |