Toulouse II vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+231%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TOF
2 - 1
TOU
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TOU
0 - 0
LSS
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TOU
1 - 0
TRE
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 2
TOU
24%
25%
50%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
TOU
2 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 0
BAS
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
ROD
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SAG
4 - 0
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
TAR
28%
25%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |