Toulouse II vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
TOU
22%
23%
56%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TOU
2 - 1
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOU
0 - 0
59%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 4
TOU
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
TOU
0 - 2
SAI
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAI
0 - 1
BAL
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
BER
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
STA
2 - 0
BAL
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
SAG
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |