Toulouse II vs Angouleme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BER
4 - 1
TOU
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 0
ROD
43%
26%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 2
TOU
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 2
TOU
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOU
3 - 2
LEG
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 3
ANG
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 3
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
2 - 1
ANG
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 2
AUR
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
ANG
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |