Toulouse vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 2
TFC
29%
30%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 1
TFC
41%
29%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 2
REN
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 1
REI
54%
28%
18%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 1
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
VAL
36%
27%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
GIR
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LYO
3 - 2
VAL
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |