Toulouse vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
LIL
20%
26%
53%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 0
TFC
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
REN
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUX
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
LIL
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
SOC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |