Toulouse vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
TFC
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 0
LYO
17%
24%
60%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
TFC
37%
29%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 1
AUX
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
TFC
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
REN
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PSG
3 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 1
VAL
21%
27%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |