Toulouse vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 1
TRA
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 3
TFC
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TFC
3 - 1
ASS
43%
28%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 3
PSG
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
VAL
74%
18%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 3
ASN
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ASS
4 - 0
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
PSG
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |